Aim: To determine a predictive potential of biochemical and clinical parameters, including independent predictors of the therapeutic outcome in patients with H1N1 influenza.
Methods: In this retrospective study, 119 patients treated at the Clinic for Infectious Diseases in Tuzla in the period July 2009 to February 2010 were included. They were at the age of 1 month up to 80 years. The patients showed clinical, epidemiological and biochemical parameters of the pandemic flu and they had also been positive for the virus A (H1N1), which was confirmed by the real time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR).
Results: One hundred and nineteen patients were positive to the virus A (H1N1), 60 (50.4%) were male, and 59 (49.6%) female patients. The average age of the patients was 26.74 years. The number of patients with co-morbidity was 53 (44.5%). There were 71 (59.7%) patients who had been admitted to the Intensive Care Unit. The complications of the flu had appeared in 45 (37.8%) patients. Pneumonia was recorded in 108 (90.8%), and reduced saturation in 62 (52.1%) patients. The highest number of cured patients was in the group of patients who had received the oseltamivir within 48 hours after the outbreak of the disease.
Conclusion: The age, reduced saturation with oxygen, duration of the hospitalization, pregnancy and overweight were independent predictors of the severe form of the disease/lethal outcome. For an optimal therapeutic outcome, it is important to apply antiviral therapy as soon as possible.