Risk factors for death in 632 patients with sickle cell disease in the United States and United Kingdom

PLoS One. 2014 Jul 2;9(7):e99489. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0099489. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

Background: The role of pulmonary hypertension as a cause of mortality in sickle cell disease (SCD) is controversial.

Methods and results: We evaluated the relationship between an elevated estimated pulmonary artery systolic pressure and mortality in patients with SCD. We followed patients from the walk-PHaSST screening cohort for a median of 29 months. A tricuspid regurgitation velocity (TRV)≥ 3.0 m/s cuttof, which has a 67-75% positive predictive value for mean pulmonary artery pressure ≥ 25 mm Hg was used. Among 572 subjects, 11.2% had TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec. Among 582 with a measured NT-proBNP, 24.1% had values ≥ 160 pg/mL. Of 22 deaths during follow-up, 50% had a TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec. At 24 months the cumulative survival was 83% with TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec and 98% with TRV < 3.0 m/sec (p < 0.0001). The hazard ratios for death were 11.1 (95% CI 4.1-30.1; p < 0.0001) for TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec, 4.6 (1.8-11.3; p = 0.001) for NT-proBNP ≥ 160 pg/mL, and 14.9 (5.5-39.9; p < 0.0001) for both TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec and NT-proBNP ≥ 160 pg/mL. Age > 47 years, male gender, chronic transfusions, WHO class III-IV, increased hemolytic markers, ferritin and creatinine were also associated with increased risk of death.

Conclusions: A TRV ≥ 3.0 m/sec occurs in approximately 10% of individuals and has the highest risk for death of any measured variable. The study is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov with identifier: NCT00492531.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Anemia, Sickle Cell / mortality
  • Anemia, Sickle Cell / pathology*
  • Blood Flow Velocity
  • Blood Pressure
  • Cohort Studies
  • Creatinine / blood
  • Female
  • Ferritins / analysis
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Hemolysis
  • Humans
  • Hypertension, Pulmonary / pathology
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood
  • Peptide Fragments / blood
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • United Kingdom
  • United States
  • Walking

Substances

  • Peptide Fragments
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain
  • Ferritins
  • Creatinine

Associated data

  • ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT00492531