Predicting treatment failure in patients with community acquired pneumonia: a case-control study

Respir Res. 2014 Jul 5;15(1):75. doi: 10.1186/1465-9921-15-75.

Abstract

Introduction: Treatment failure in community-acquired-pneumonia (CAP) patients is associated with a high mortality rate, and therefore are a matter of great concern in clinical management. Those patients have increased mortality and are a target population for randomized clinical trials.

Methods: A case-control study was performed in patients with CAP (non-failure cases vs. failure cases, discriminating by late and early failure). CRP, PCT, interleukin 1, 6, 8 and 10 and TNF were determined at days 1 and 3 of hospitalization.

Results: A total of 253 patients were included in this study where 83 patients presented treatment failure. Of these, 40 (48.2%) had early failure. A discriminative effect was found for a higher CURB-65 score among late failure patients (p = 0.004). A significant increase on day 1 of hospitalization in CRP (p < 0.001), PCT (p = 0.004), IL-6 (p < 0.001) and IL-8 (p = 0.02), and a decrease in IL-1 (p = 0.06) in patients with failure was observed compared with patients without failure. On day 3, only the increase in CRP (p < 0.001), PCT (p = 0.007) and IL-6 (p < 0.001) remained significant. Independent predictors for early failure were higher IL-6 levels on day 1 (OR = 1.78, IC = 1.2-2.6) and pleural effusion (OR = 2.25, IC = 1.0-5.3), and for late failure, higher PCT levels on day 3 (OR = 1.60, IC = 1.0-2.5), CURB-65 score ≥ 3 (OR = 1.43, IC = 1.0-2.0), and multilobar involvement (OR = 4.50, IC = 2.1-9.9).

Conclusions: There was a good correlation of IL-6 levels and CAP failure and IL-6 & PCT with late CAP failure. Pleural effusion and multilobar involvement were simple clinical predictors of early and late failure, respectively.

Trial registration: IRB Register: http://2009/5451.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Community-Acquired Infections / blood
  • Community-Acquired Infections / diagnosis*
  • Community-Acquired Infections / therapy*
  • Cytokines / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Interleukin-6* / blood
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pleural Effusion / blood
  • Pleural Effusion / diagnosis
  • Pleural Effusion / therapy
  • Pneumonia / blood
  • Pneumonia / diagnosis*
  • Pneumonia / therapy*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Treatment Failure
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Cytokines
  • IL6 protein, human
  • Interleukin-6