Higher free serum cortisol is associated with worse survival in acute variceal bleeding because of cirrhosis: a prospective study

Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2014 Oct;26(10):1125-32. doi: 10.1097/MEG.0000000000000158.

Abstract

Background and aims: Critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency has been reported in acute variceal bleeding (AVB). In cirrhosis, free serum cortisol (FC) is considered optimal to assess adrenal function. Salivary cortisol (SC) is considered a surrogate for FC. We evaluated FC and its prognostic role in AVB.

Methods: Total serum cortisol, SC, cortisol-binding globulin, and FC (Coolens' formula) were evaluated in AVB (n=38) and in stable cirrhosis (CC) (n=31). A Cox proportional hazards model was evaluated for 6-week survival.

Results: In AVB, the median FC and SC levels were higher with worse liver dysfunction [Child-Pugh (CP) A/B/C: 1.59/2.62/3.26 μg/dl, P=0.019; CPA/B/C: 0.48/0.897/1.81 μg/ml, P<0.001, respectively]. In AVB compared with CC, median total serum cortisol: 24.3 versus 11.6 μg/dl (P<0.001), SC: 0.86 versus 0.407 μg/ml (P<0.001); FC 2.4 versus 0.57 μg/dl (P<0.001). In AVB, 5-day rebleeding was 10.5%, and 6-week and total mortality were 21.1 and 23.7%, respectively. Independent associations with 6-week mortality in AVB were FC at least 3.2 μg/dl (P<0.001), hepatocellular carcinoma (P<0.001), CPC (P<0.001), and early rebleeding (P<0.001). Among patients with normal cortisol-binding globulin (n=14) and albumin (n=31), the factors were hepatocellular carcinoma (P=0.003), CP (P=0.003), and FC (P=0.036). SC was also found to be an independent predictor of 6-week mortality (P<0.001). Area under the curve of FC for predicting 6-week mortality was 0.79.

Conclusion: Higher FC is present in cirrhosis with AVB compared with CC and is associated independently with bleeding-related mortality. However, whether high FC solely indicates the severity of illness or whether there is significant adrenal insufficiency cannot be discerned.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Adrenal Cortex / metabolism*
  • Adrenal Cortex / physiopathology
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Area Under Curve
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / blood
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / etiology
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / mortality
  • Carrier Proteins / blood
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Esophageal and Gastric Varices / blood
  • Esophageal and Gastric Varices / diagnosis
  • Esophageal and Gastric Varices / etiology*
  • Esophageal and Gastric Varices / mortality
  • Female
  • Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage / blood
  • Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage / diagnosis
  • Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage / etiology*
  • Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage / mortality
  • Greece
  • Humans
  • Hydrocortisone / blood*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / blood
  • Liver Cirrhosis / complications*
  • Liver Cirrhosis / diagnosis
  • Liver Cirrhosis / mortality
  • Liver Function Tests
  • Liver Neoplasms / blood
  • Liver Neoplasms / etiology
  • Liver Neoplasms / mortality
  • Logistic Models
  • London
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Factors
  • Serum Albumin / metabolism
  • Serum Albumin, Human
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Time Factors
  • Up-Regulation

Substances

  • ALB protein, human
  • Biomarkers
  • Carrier Proteins
  • Serum Albumin
  • cortisol binding globulin
  • Hydrocortisone
  • Serum Albumin, Human