Newly detected atrial high rate episodes predict long-term mortality outcomes in patients with permanent pacemakers

Heart Rhythm. 2014 Dec;11(12):2214-21. doi: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2014.08.019. Epub 2014 Aug 15.

Abstract

Background: Subclinical atrial high rate episodes (AHREs) detected by implanted devices in patients with no history of atrial fibrillation (AF) have been associated with an increased risk of stroke and systemic embolism. Data regarding the long-term survival of patients with permanent pacemakers and newly detected AHREs are limited.

Objective: This study aimed to assess whether newly detected AHREs in pacemaker patients predict mortality outcomes.

Methods: We evaluated 224 patients (mean age 74 ± 12 years; 118 men [53%]) with no history of AF who underwent dual-chamber pacemaker implantation from 2002 through 2004. During follow-up, patients with AHREs of ≥5-minute duration were identified. Mortality data were obtained from the National Death Index.

Results: Thirty-nine patients (17%) had AHREs of ≥5-minute duration within 6 months of pacemaker implantation. Over a mean follow-up period of 6.6 ± 2.0 years, the rate of all-cause mortality was 29%. In multivariate analysis adjusted for age, sex, and cardiovascular diseases, AHREs were associated with a significant increase in cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 2.80; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.24-6.31; P = .013) and stroke mortality (HR 9.65; 95% CI 1.56-59.9; P = .015), with a trend toward increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.79; 95% CI 0.98-3.26; P = .059). The subgroup of patients with AHREs of ≥5-minute but <1-day duration still had a significantly increased cardiovascular mortality (HR 3.24; 95% CI 1.37-7.66; P = .007).

Conclusion: AHREs are commonly encountered in pacemaker patients with no history of AF and are independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Mortality; Permanent pacemaker.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Analysis of Variance
  • Atrial Fibrillation / diagnosis
  • Atrial Fibrillation / mortality*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / therapy*
  • Cardiac Pacing, Artificial / adverse effects
  • Cardiac Pacing, Artificial / methods*
  • Cause of Death*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Electrocardiography / methods
  • Embolism / etiology
  • Embolism / mortality
  • Embolism / physiopathology
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Pacemaker, Artificial*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Stroke / etiology
  • Stroke / mortality
  • Stroke / physiopathology
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome