Evaluation of the performance of a dengue outbreak detection tool for China

Honglong Zhang; Zhongjie Li; Shengjie Lai; Archie C A Clements; Liping Wang; Wenwu Yin; Hang Zhou; Hongjie Yu; Wenbiao Hu; Weizhong Yang

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0106144

Evaluation of the performance of a dengue outbreak detection tool for China

PLoS One. 2014 Aug 29;9(8):e106144. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0106144. eCollection 2014.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early-warning on infectious Disease, Division of Infectious Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
² Research School of Population Health, College of Medicine, Biology and Environment, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
³ Infectious Disease Epidemiology Unit, School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.

Abstract

An outbreak detection and response system, using time series moving percentile method based on historical data, in China has been used for identifying dengue fever outbreaks since 2008. For dengue fever outbreaks reported from 2009 to 2012, this system achieved a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 99.8% and a median time to detection of 3 days, which indicated that the system was a useful decision tool for dengue fever control and risk-management programs in China.

Publication types

Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

China / epidemiology
Dengue / epidemiology*
Disease Outbreaks*
Epidemiological Monitoring*
Female
Humans
Male
Predictive Value of Tests
Risk Assessment / methods

Grants and funding

This work was supported by the grants from Research and Promotion of Key Technology on Health Emergency Preparation and Dispositions (201202006), the National Key Science and Technology Project on Infectious Disease Surveillance Technique Platform of China (2012ZX10004-201) and Development of Early Warning Systems for Dengue Fever Based on Socio-ecological Factors (NHMRC APP1002608). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.