Purpose: Recurrence is a disastrous outcome in patients with hepatitis-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who have undergone curative resection, and little is known about whether high levels of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) increase the risk of HCC recurrence.
Patients and methods: This retrospective study included 1,360 HBsAg-positive postoperative HCC patients with hepatitis B viral (HBV) DNA levels < 2000 IU/mL, including 298 patients in a training cohort and 1,062 patients in a validation cohort. The prognostic value of the HBsAg level was evaluated using Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses.
Results: We demonstrated that 1,000 IU/mL, but not 10 or 100 IU/mL, was a meaningful cutoff level for significantly discriminating these patients into an HBsAg(Low) group and an HBsAg(High) group based on correlations between the HBsAg level and liver cirrhosis (p = 0.028), tumor size (p = 0.039), and hepatitis B e antigen level (p < 0.001). The postoperative 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of HCC patients in the HBsAg(Low) group were significantly higher than those of HCC patients in the HBsAg(High) group. Accordingly, the 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates of patients in the HBsAg(Low) group were markedly higher than those of HCC patients in the HBsAg(High) group. The HBsAg level was a prognostic indicator for OS (p = 0.014) and RFS (p = 0.01).
Conclusion: HBsAg level is correlated with more aggressive tumor behavior and serves as a prognostic indicator in patients with surgically resected HCC with low HBV load.