An individual-based model of zebrafish population dynamics accounting for energy dynamics

PLoS One. 2015 May 4;10(5):e0125841. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0125841. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

Developing population dynamics models for zebrafish is crucial in order to extrapolate from toxicity data measured at the organism level to biological levels relevant to support and enhance ecological risk assessment. To achieve this, a dynamic energy budget for individual zebrafish (DEB model) was coupled to an individual based model of zebrafish population dynamics (IBM model). Next, we fitted the DEB model to new experimental data on zebrafish growth and reproduction thus improving existing models. We further analysed the DEB-model and DEB-IBM using a sensitivity analysis. Finally, the predictions of the DEB-IBM were compared to existing observations on natural zebrafish populations and the predicted population dynamics are realistic. While our zebrafish DEB-IBM model can still be improved by acquiring new experimental data on the most uncertain processes (e.g. survival or feeding), it can already serve to predict the impact of compounds at the population level.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Animals
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Population Dynamics*
  • Zebrafish*

Grants and funding

This study was funded by the French Ministry in charge of Ecology and Sustainable Development, within the frameworks of the National Research Programme on Endocrine Disruption (PNRPE) and of the Programme 190.