Statistical validation of structured population models for Daphnia magna

Math Biosci. 2015 Aug:266:73-84. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2015.06.003. Epub 2015 Jun 17.

Abstract

In this study we use statistical validation techniques to verify density-dependent mechanisms hypothesized for populations of Daphnia magna. We develop structured population models that exemplify specific mechanisms and use multi-scale experimental data in order to test their importance. We show that fecundity and survival rates are affected by both time-varying density-independent factors, such as age, and density-dependent factors, such as competition. We perform uncertainty analysis and show that our parameters are estimated with a high degree of confidence. Furthermore, we perform a sensitivity analysis to understand how changes in fecundity and survival rates affect population size and age-structure.

Keywords: Daphnia magna; Density-dependence; Multi-scale data; Sensitivity analysis; Structured population model; Uncertainty quantification.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Daphnia*
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Population Dynamics