Predictive factors for long-term survival in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients with distant metastasis after initial definitive treatment

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2016 Jan;142(1):295-304. doi: 10.1007/s00432-015-2043-x. Epub 2015 Sep 4.

Abstract

Purpose: Distant metastasis (DM) of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is not common but remains a substantial problem. Here, we evaluated factors predictive of long-term survival in HNSCC patients presenting with DM after initial definitive treatment.

Methods: The medical records of patients with HNSCC who underwent definitive treatment between 2006 and 2011 were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify clinicopathological factors associated with long-term survival after DM.

Results: Of 779 HNSCC patients, 98 (12.6 %) had DM after completion of definitive treatment, with a median time to DM of 15 months (range 1-87 months). Overall survival (OS) rates at 1 and 2 years after DM were 43.1 and 20.5 %, respectively. In multivariate analysis, hypoalbuminemia (P < 0.001, hazard ratio [HR] 3.45, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 2.01-5.92), prior or simultaneous locoregional failure events (P < 0.001, HR 2.36, 95 % CI 1.47-3.79), multisite DM (P = 0.001, HR 2.30, 95 % CI 1.42-3.72), and no salvage treatment for DM (P = 0.003, HR 2.19, 95 % CI 1.32-3.64) were independent predictors of OS after the development of DM. Seventeen (18 %) patients survived >2 years. Patients who did not have any of these risk factors had the most favorable outcomes, with a 2-year survival of 100 %.

Conclusions: In the absence of risk factors, long-term survival can be achieved despite the development of DM after definitive treatment.

Keywords: Distant metastasis; Head and neck; Long-term survival; Risk factors; Squamous cell carcinoma.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / mortality*
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / secondary
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / therapy
  • Combined Modality Therapy
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / pathology
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / therapy
  • Humans
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / mortality*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / pathology
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / therapy
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Rate
  • Young Adult