Which Variables Are Useful for Predicting Severe Infection in Children With Febrile Neutropenia?

J Pediatr Hematol Oncol. 2015 Nov;37(8):e468-74. doi: 10.1097/MPH.0000000000000440.

Abstract

To distinguish children with chemotherapy-induced febrile neutropenia (FN) at low risk of severe infection, the variables that are significant risk factors must be identified. Our objective was to identify them by applying evidence-based standards. This retrospective 2-center cohort study included all episodes of chemotherapy-induced FN in children in 2005 and 2006. The medical history, clinical, and laboratory data available at admission were collected. Severe infection was defined by bacteremia, a positive culture of a normally sterile body fluid, invasive fungal infection, or localized infection at high risk of extension. Univariate analysis identified potential predictive variables. A generalized mixed model was used to determine the adjusted variables that predict severe infection. We analyzed 372 FN episodes. Severe infections occurred in 16.1% of them. Variables predictive of severe infection at admission were: disease with high risk of prolonged neutropenia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]=2.5), blood cancer (aOR=1.9), fever ≥38.5°C (aOR=3.7), and C-reactive protein level ≥90 mg/L (aOR=4.5). Now that we have identified these variables significantly associated with the risk of severe infection, they must be validated prospectively before combining the best predictive variables in a decision rule that can be used to distinguish children at low risk.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Antineoplastic Agents / adverse effects
  • Biomarkers
  • C-Reactive Protein / analysis
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Datasets as Topic / statistics & numerical data
  • Decision Support Systems, Clinical*
  • Evidence-Based Medicine / standards
  • Febrile Neutropenia / blood
  • Febrile Neutropenia / chemically induced
  • Febrile Neutropenia / complications*
  • Female
  • France / epidemiology
  • Hospital Units / statistics & numerical data
  • Hospitals, University / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infections / blood
  • Infections / epidemiology*
  • Infections / etiology
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasms / complications
  • Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk
  • Statistics, Nonparametric
  • Tertiary Care Centers / statistics & numerical data

Substances

  • Antineoplastic Agents
  • Biomarkers
  • C-Reactive Protein