Early Indicators of Fatal Leptospirosis during the 2010 Epidemic in Puerto Rico

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 Feb 25;10(2):e0004482. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004482. eCollection 2016 Feb.

Abstract

Background: Leptospirosis is a potentially fatal bacterial zoonosis that is endemic throughout the tropics and may be misdiagnosed as dengue. Delayed hospital admission of leptospirosis patients is associated with increased mortality.

Methodology/principal findings: During a concurrent dengue/leptospirosis epidemic in Puerto Rico in 2010, suspected dengue patients that tested dengue-negative were tested for leptospirosis. Fatal and non-fatal hospitalized leptospirosis patients were matched 1:1-3 by age. Records from all medical visits were evaluated for factors associated with fatal outcome. Among 175 leptospirosis patients identified (4.7 per 100,000 residents), 26 (15%) were fatal. Most patients were older males and had illness onset during the rainy season. Fatal case patients first sought medical care earlier than non-fatal control patients (2.5 vs. 5 days post-illness onset [DPO], p < 0.01), but less frequently first sought care at a hospital (52.4% vs. 92.2%, p < 0.01). Although fatal cases were more often diagnosed with leptospirosis at first medical visit (43.9% vs. 9.6%, p = 0.01), they were admitted to the hospital no earlier than non-fatal controls (4.5 vs. 6 DPO, p = 0.31). Cases less often developed fever (p = 0.03), but more often developed jaundice, edema, leg pain, hemoptysis, and had a seizure (p ≤ 0.03). Multivariable analysis of laboratory values from first medical visit associated with fatal outcome included increased white blood cell (WBC) count with increased creatinine (p = 0.001), and decreased bicarbonate with either increased WBC count, increased creatinine, or decreased platelet count (p < 0.001).

Conclusions/significance: Patients with fatal leptospirosis sought care earlier, but were not admitted for care any earlier than non-fatal patients. Combinations of routine laboratory values predictive of fatal outcome should be considered in admission decision-making for patients with suspected leptospirosis.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Early Diagnosis
  • Epidemics
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Leptospira / genetics
  • Leptospira / isolation & purification*
  • Leptospira / physiology
  • Leptospirosis / diagnosis*
  • Leptospirosis / epidemiology
  • Leptospirosis / mortality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Puerto Rico / epidemiology
  • Young Adult

Grants and funding

This study was supported by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and Puerto Rico Department of Health. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.