Ideal glycated hemoglobin cut-off points for screening diabetes and prediabetes in a Chinese population

Aims/introduction: The aims of the present study were to evaluate the diagnostic value of fasting plasma glucose, 2-h postload plasma glucose and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) measurements in the screening of diabetes and prediabetes, and to determine the cut-off point of HbA1c in the diagnosis of diabetes and prediabetes in a Chinese population.

Materials and methods: A total of 7,611 individuals aged 40 years or older, who did not have a prior history of diabetes, were randomly selected in the Changchun area. For each participant, a questionnaire was completed, and a physical examination and an oral glucose tolerance test were carried out. The values of fasting plasma glucose, 2-h postload plasma glucose and HbA1c were compared by area under the receiver operating characteristic curves. The Youden index was used to identify the optimal cut-off point of HbA1c in the diagnosis of diabetes and prediabetes.

Results: The prevalence of newly diagnosed diabetes and prediabetes was 12.71% and 29.39%, respectively. In participants with newly diagnosed diabetes, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.8368 for fasting plasma glucose, 0.9330 for 2-h postload plasma glucose and 0.8064 for HbA1c; whereas for prediabetes, these values were 0.8022, 0.9288 and 0.6895, respectively. In addition, an HbA1c threshold of 6.3% showed the highest Youden index (0.4799) for detecting diabetes; furthermore, an HbA1c threshold of 5.8% showed the highest Youden index (0.2866) for detecting prediabetes.

Conclusions: HbA1c ≥6.3% (45 mmol/mol) and between 5.8% and 6.2% (40-44 mmol/mol) were the optimal cut-off values for the diagnosis of diabetes and prediabetes, respectively, in a Chinese population.