Analysis of driver injury severity in single-vehicle crashes on rural and urban roadways

Accid Anal Prev. 2016 Sep:94:35-45. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.03.026. Epub 2016 May 28.

Abstract

This study analyzes driver injury severities for single-vehicle crashes occurring in rural and urban areas using data collected in New Mexico from 2010 to 2011. Nested logit models and mixed logit models are developed in order to account for the correlation between severity categories (No injury, Possible injury, Visible injury, Incapacitating injury and fatality) and individual heterogeneity among drivers. Various factors, such as crash and environment characteristics, geometric features, and driver behavior are examined in this study. Nested logit model and mixed logit model reveal similar results in terms of identifying contributing factors for driver injury severities. In the analysis of urban crashes, only the nested logit model is presented since no random parameter is found in the mixed logit model. The results indicate that significant differences exist between factors contributing to driver injury severity in single-vehicle crashes in rural and urban areas. There are 5 variables found only significant in the rural model and six significant variables identified only in the urban crash model. These findings can help transportation agencies develop effective policies or appropriate strategies to reduce injury severity resulting from single-vehicle crashes.

Keywords: Driver injury severity; Mixed logit model; Nested logit model; Single-vehicle crashes.

MeSH terms

  • Accidents, Traffic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Automobile Driving / statistics & numerical data*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • New Mexico
  • Risk Assessment
  • Rural Population / statistics & numerical data
  • Trauma Severity Indices*
  • Urban Population / statistics & numerical data
  • Young Adult