Estimating average attributable fractions with confidence intervals for cohort and case-control studies

Stat Methods Med Res. 2018 Apr;27(4):1141-1152. doi: 10.1177/0962280216655374. Epub 2016 Jun 24.

Abstract

Chronic diseases tend to depend on a large number of risk factors, both environmental and genetic. Average attributable fractions were introduced by Eide and Gefeller as a way of partitioning overall disease burden into contributions from individual risk factors; this may be useful in deciding which risk factors to target in disease interventions. Here, we introduce new estimation methods for average attributable fractions that are appropriate for both case-control designs and prospective studies. Confidence intervals, derived using Monte Carlo simulation, are also described. Finally, we introduce a novel approximation for the sample average attributable fraction that will ensure a computationally tractable approach when the number of risk factors is large. An R package, [Formula: see text], implementing the methods described in this manuscript can be downloaded from the CRAN repository.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Monte Carlo confidence interval; attributable fraction; permutations; weighted likelihood.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Biomedical Research / statistics & numerical data
  • Case-Control Studies*
  • Chronic Disease
  • Confidence Intervals*
  • Humans
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Prospective Studies*
  • Risk Assessment / statistics & numerical data
  • Risk Factors