CHA2DS2-VASc score and clinical outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndrome

Eur J Intern Med. 2016 Dec:36:57-61. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2016.09.010. Epub 2016 Oct 1.

Abstract

Background: The CHA2DS2-VASc score has been recommended for the assessment of thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Hypothesis: The CHA2DS2-VASc score may be associated with adverse outcomes in patients with ACS.

Methods: Included were patients with ACS enrolled in the Acute Coronary Syndrome Israeli biennial Surveys (ACSIS) during 2000-2013. Patients were divided into 4 groups according to their CHA2DS2-VASc score (0 or 1, 2 or 3, 4 or 5, and >5). The primary endpoint was 1-year all-cause mortality.

Results: The 13,422 patients had a mean age of 63.5±13years and included 25.8% females. Higher CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with a significant increase in 1-year mortality. Patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score >5 had the highest 1-year mortality risk that was 6-fold higher compared to patients with a score of 0 to 1 (hazard ratio=6, 95% CI=4.1-8.8, p<0.0001). However, even an intermediate CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2-3 was associated with a significant 2.6-fold increase in 1-year mortality. Patients with a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score were less frequently selected for an invasive strategy with an early coronary angiogram and subsequent angioplasty and were less commonly treated with the guideline-based medications. However, differences in outcomes remained significant following a multivariate analysis suggesting that these variations in therapy can only partially explain the differences in outcomes.

Conclusions: Higher CHA2DS2-VASc score identifies high-risk patients that may be overlooked by existing scores. Further studies are needed in order to evaluate whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score may be used together with the GRACE score for an improved risk assessment of ACS patients.

Keywords: Acute coronary syndrome; Risk score; mortality.

MeSH terms

  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / mortality*
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Angina, Unstable / mortality*
  • Angioplasty
  • Coronary Angiography
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Guideline Adherence
  • Heart Failure / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / epidemiology
  • Ischemic Attack, Transient / epidemiology
  • Israel / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Myocardial Infarction / mortality*
  • Peripheral Vascular Diseases / epidemiology
  • Practice Guidelines as Topic
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Factors
  • Stroke / epidemiology