Combining Clinical and Pathologic Staging Variables Has Prognostic Value in Predicting Local-regional Recurrence Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer

Ann Surg. 2017 Mar;265(3):574-580. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000001492.

Abstract

Objective: The current study was undertaken to determine if the CPS+EG score could stratify patients with respect to local-regional recurrence (LRR).

Background: We previously defined and validated a novel breast cancer staging system incorporating the American Joint Committee on Cancer clinical stage (CS), final pathologic stage (PS), estrogen receptor status (E), and nuclear grade (G) (CPS+EG score). The score is associated with disease-specific survival outcomes in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Methods: Patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy between 1997 and 2005 were identified and clinicopathologic data were used to determine the CPS+EG score. Type of local therapy, breast-conserving therapy, mastectomy alone, or mastectomy followed by postmastectomy radiation therapy was recorded. Multivariate analysis, including CPS+EG score and local therapy, was performed to evaluate for association with LRR.

Results: Of 1697 patients, breast conserving therapy was performed in 656 (39%), mastectomy in 297 (17%) and mastectomy + postmastectomy radiation therapy in 744 (44%). At a median follow-up of 49 months, the crude incidence of LRR was 6.5%. Freedom from LRR at 5 years ranged from 86% to 97% by clinical stage, 86% to 97% by pathologic stage, and 71% to 99% by CPS+EG score. On multivariate analysis, CPS+EG score and surgery type were independently associated with LRR, with increased risk among patients with CPS+EG scores of 3 or greater (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.04-3.63) or mastectomy alone (HR 2.14, 95% CI 1.26-3.63).

Conclusions: The CPS+EG staging system better stratifies patients with respect to LRR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy than presenting clinical stage or final pathologic stage. For CPS+EG scores ≥3, use of postmastectomy radiation therapy decreases the likelihood of LRR after mastectomy.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Academic Medical Centers
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Breast Neoplasms / drug therapy*
  • Breast Neoplasms / mortality
  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology
  • Breast Neoplasms / surgery
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Cohort Studies
  • Databases, Factual
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Mastectomy / methods
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoadjuvant Therapy / methods*
  • Neoplasm Invasiveness / pathology
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / mortality*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / pathology*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / therapy
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Survival Analysis
  • Treatment Outcome