Weighted Genetic Risk Scores and Prediction of Weight Gain in Solid Organ Transplant Populations

PLoS One. 2016 Oct 27;11(10):e0164443. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0164443. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

Background: Polygenic obesity in Solid Organ Transplant (SOT) populations is considered a risk factor for the development of metabolic abnormalities and graft survival. Few studies to date have studied the genetics of weight gain in SOT recipients. We aimed to determine whether weighted genetic risk scores (w-GRS) integrating genetic polymorphisms from GWAS studies (SNP group#1 and SNP group#2) and from Candidate Gene studies (SNP group#3) influence BMI in SOT populations and if they predict ≥10% weight gain (WG) one year after transplantation. To do so, two samples (nA = 995, nB = 156) were obtained from naturalistic studies and three w-GRS were constructed and tested for association with BMI over time. Prediction of 10% WG at one year after transplantation was assessed with models containing genetic and clinical factors.

Results: w-GRS were associated with BMI in sample A and B combined (BMI increased by 0.14 and 0.11 units per additional risk allele in SNP group#1 and #2, respectively, p-values<0.008). w-GRS of SNP group#3 showed an effect of 0.01 kg/m2 per additional risk allele when combining sample A and B (p-value 0.04). Models with genetic factors performed better than models without in predicting 10% WG at one year after transplantation.

Conclusions: This is the first study in SOT evaluating extensively the association of w-GRS with BMI and the influence of clinical and genetic factors on 10% of WG one year after transplantation, showing the importance of integrating genetic factors in the final model. Genetics of obesity among SOT recipients remains an important issue and can contribute to treatment personalization and prediction of WG after transplantation.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Body Mass Index
  • Female
  • Genome-Wide Association Study
  • Graft Survival / genetics
  • Graft Survival / physiology
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Obesity / etiology
  • Obesity / genetics
  • Organ Transplantation* / adverse effects
  • Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide / genetics*
  • Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide / physiology
  • Risk Factors
  • Weight Gain / genetics*
  • Young Adult

Grants and funding

This work has been funded in part by the Swiss National Science Foundation (CBE: 324730_144064). LQ and CBE received research support from the Roche Organ Transplantation Research Foundation (#152358701) and the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study in the past 3 years. ZK was funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation (31003A-143914) and the Leenaards Foundation. This study has been conducted in the framework of the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study, supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation and the Swiss University Hospitals (G15) and transplant centers. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.