The predictive value of an adjusted COPD assessment test score on the risk of respiratory-related hospitalizations in severe COPD patients

Chron Respir Dis. 2017 Feb;14(1):72-84. doi: 10.1177/1479972316687099. Epub 2017 Feb 24.

Abstract

We evaluated whether a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) assessment test (CAT) with adjusted weights for the CAT items could better predict future respiratory-related hospitalizations than the original CAT. Two focus groups (respiratory nurses and physicians) generated two adjusted CAT algorithms. Two multivariate logistic regression models for infrequent (≤1/year) versus frequent (>1/year) future respiratory-related hospitalizations were defined: one with the adjusted CAT score that correlated best with future hospitalizations and one with the original CAT score. Patient characteristics related to future hospitalizations ( p ≤ 0.2) were also entered. Eighty-two COPD patients were included. The CAT algorithm derived from the nurse focus group was a borderline significant predictor of hospitalization risk (odds ratio (OR): 1.07; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00-1.14; p = 0.050) in a model that also included hospitalization frequency in the previous year (OR: 3.98; 95% CI: 1.30-12.16; p = 0.016) and anticholinergic risk score (OR: 3.08; 95% CI: 0.87-10.89; p = 0.081). Presence of ischemic heart disease and/or heart failure appeared 'protective' (OR: 0.17; 95% CI: 0.05-0.62; p = 0.007). The original CAT score was not significantly associated with hospitalization risk. In conclusion, as a predictor of respiratory-related hospitalizations, an adjusted CAT score was marginally significant (although the original CAT score was not). 'Previous respiratory-related hospitalizations' was the strongest factor in this equation.

Keywords: COPD assessment test; Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; focus groups; hospitalizations; predictive value of tests; questionnaires; risk factors.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Algorithms
  • Cholinergic Antagonists / therapeutic use
  • Dyspnea / etiology
  • Exercise
  • Exercise Tolerance
  • Female
  • Focus Groups
  • Forced Expiratory Volume
  • Heart Failure / epidemiology
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Myocardial Ischemia / epidemiology
  • Nurses
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Protective Factors
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / complications
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / epidemiology
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / physiopathology*
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / therapy
  • Pulmonologists
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index

Substances

  • Cholinergic Antagonists