Optimal control of vaccination rate in an epidemiological model of Clostridium difficile transmission

J Math Biol. 2017 Dec;75(6-7):1693-1713. doi: 10.1007/s00285-017-1133-6. Epub 2017 May 8.

Abstract

The spore-forming, gram-negative bacteria Clostridium difficile can cause severe intestinal illness. A striking increase in the number of cases of C. difficile infection (CDI) among hospitals has highlighted the need to better understand how to prevent the spread of CDI. In our paper, we modify and update a compartmental model of nosocomial C. difficile transmission to include vaccination. We then apply optimal control theory to determine the time-varying optimal vaccination rate that minimizes a combination of disease prevalence and spread in the hospital population as well as cost, in terms of time and money, associated with vaccination. Various hospital scenarios are considered, such as times of increased antibiotic prescription rate and times of outbreak, to see how such scenarios modify the optimal vaccination rate. By comparing the values of the objective functional with constant vaccination rates to those with time-varying optimal vaccination rates, we illustrate the benefits of time-varying controls.

Keywords: Clostridium difficile; Healthcare setting; Optimal control; Ordinary differential equations; Vaccination.

MeSH terms

  • Bacterial Vaccines / pharmacology
  • Clostridioides difficile*
  • Computer Simulation
  • Cross Infection / epidemiology*
  • Cross Infection / prevention & control*
  • Cross Infection / transmission
  • Disease Susceptibility
  • Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous / epidemiology*
  • Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous / prevention & control*
  • Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous / transmission
  • Epidemics / prevention & control
  • Epidemics / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Mathematical Concepts
  • Models, Biological
  • Time Factors
  • Vaccination / methods*
  • Vaccination / statistics & numerical data

Substances

  • Bacterial Vaccines