Background: Vascular complications are still common in the catheterization laboratory setting. However, no risk scores for their prediction have been described. With a view to bridging this gap, the present study sought to develop and validate a score for prediction of vascular complications associated with arterial access in patients undergoing interventional cardiology procedures.
Methods: This prospective multicenter cohort study included adult patients who underwent cardiac catheterization via the femoral or radial route. The outcomes of interest were: access site hematoma; major and minor bleeding; and retroperitoneal hemorrhage, pseudoaneurysm, or arteriovenous fistula requiring surgical repair. Past medical history as well as pre-procedural, intra-procedural, and post-procedural variables were collected. Patients were randomly allocated to the derivation or validation cohorts at a 2:1 ratio. The following equation constituted the score: (>6F introducer sheath×4.0)+(percutaneous coronary intervention×2.5)+(history of vascular complication after prior interventional cardiology procedure×2.0)+(prior use of warfarin or phenprocoumon×2.0)+(female sex×1.5)+(age⩾60 years×1.5). The maximum score is 13.5 points.
Results: A score dichotomized at ⩾3 (best cutoff for balancing sensitivity and specificity) was moderately accurate (sensitivity=0.66 (95% confidence interval: 0.59-0.73); specificity=0.59 (95% confidence interval: 0.56-0.61)). Patients with a score ⩾3 were at increased risk of complications (odds ratio: 2.95; 95% confidence interval: 2.22-3.91).
Conclusions: This study yielded a score that is capable of predicting vascular complications and easily applied in daily practice by providers working in the catheterization laboratory setting.
Keywords: Cardiac catheterization; percutaneous coronary intervention; postoperative complications; risk factors.