Thyroid neoplasia risk is increased nearly 30 years after the Chernobyl accident

Int J Cancer. 2017 Oct 15;141(8):1585-1588. doi: 10.1002/ijc.30857. Epub 2017 Jul 10.

Abstract

To evaluate risk of thyroid neoplasia nearly 30 years following exposure to radioactive iodine (I-131) from the 1986 Chernobyl nuclear accident, we conducted a fifth cycle of thyroid screening of the Ukrainian-American cohort during 2012-2015, following four previous screening cycles started in 1998. We identified 47 thyroid cancers (TC) and 33 follicular adenomas (FA) among 10,073 individuals who were <18 years at the time of the accident and had a mean I-131 dose of 0.62 Gy. We found a significant I-131 dose response for both TC and FA, with an excess odd ratio per Gy of 1.36 (95% CI: 0.39-4.15) and 2.03 (95% CI: 0.55-6.69), respectively. The excess risk of malignant and benign thyroid neoplasia persists nearly three decades after exposure and underscores the importance of continued follow-up of this cohort to characterize long-term pattern of I-131 risk.

Keywords: Chernobyl nuclear accident; cohort studies; cross-sectional studies; epidemiology; radiation; thyroid neoplasms.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Intramural

MeSH terms

  • Adenoma / epidemiology
  • Adenoma / etiology
  • Adult
  • Chernobyl Nuclear Accident*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Dose-Response Relationship, Radiation
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Iodine Radioisotopes / poisoning
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced / epidemiology*
  • Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced / etiology
  • Risk
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / etiology
  • Ukraine / ethnology
  • United States / epidemiology

Substances

  • Iodine Radioisotopes