Biological age is better than chronological as predictor of 3-month outcome in ischemic stroke

Neurology. 2017 Aug 22;89(8):830-836. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000004261. Epub 2017 Jul 21.

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the effect of age-related DNA methylation changes in multiple cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) sites (biological age [b-age]) on patient outcomes at 3 months after an ischemic stroke.

Methods: We included 511 patients with first-ever acute ischemic stroke assessed at Hospital del Mar (Barcelona, Spain) as the discovery cohort. Demographic and clinical data, including chronological age (c-age), vascular risk factors, initial stroke severity, recanalization treatment, and previous and 3-month modified Rankin Scale (p-mRS and 3-mRS, respectively) were registered. B-age was estimated with an algorithm, based on DNA methylation in 71 CpGs. Bivariate analysis determined variables associated with 3-mRS for inclusion in ordinal multivariate analysis.

Results: After ordinal regressions for 3-month ischemic stroke outcome (3-mRS), b-age was associated with outcome (odds ratio 1.04 [95% confidence interval 1.01-1.07]), nullifying c-age. Stepwise regression kept b-age, basal NIH Stroke Scale, sex, p-mRS, and recanalization treatment as better explanatory variables, instead of c-age. These results were successfully replicated in an independent cohort.

Conclusions: B-age, estimated by DNA methylation, is an independent predictor of ischemic stroke outcome regardless of chronological years.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aging / genetics
  • Aging / metabolism*
  • Algorithms
  • Brain Ischemia / diagnosis
  • Brain Ischemia / genetics
  • Brain Ischemia / metabolism*
  • Brain Ischemia / therapy*
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • DNA Methylation*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Regression Analysis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Stroke / diagnosis
  • Stroke / genetics
  • Stroke / metabolism*
  • Stroke / therapy*
  • Treatment Outcome