A semiparametric method for comparing the discriminatory ability of biomarkers subject to limit of detection

Stat Med. 2017 Nov 20;36(26):4141-4152. doi: 10.1002/sim.7415. Epub 2017 Jul 25.

Abstract

Receiver operating characteristic curves and the area under the curves (AUC) are often used to compare the discriminatory ability of potentially correlated biomarkers. Many biomarkers are subject to limit of detection due to the instrumental limitation in measurements and may not be normally distributed. Standard parametric methods assuming normality can lead to biased results when the normality assumption is violated. We propose new estimation and inference procedures for the AUCs of biomarkers subject to limit of detection by using the semiparametric transformation model allowing for heteroscedasticity. We obtain the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators by maximizing the likelihood for the observed data with limit of detection. The proposed estimators are shown to be consistent, asymptotically normal, and asymptotically efficient. Additionally, we propose a Wald type test statistic to compare the AUCs of 2 potentially correlated biomarkers with limit of detection. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed method is robust to nonnormality while performing as well as its parametric counterpart when the normality assumption is true. An application to an autism study is provided.

Keywords: AUC; ROC curve; limit of detection; nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator; semiparametric transformation model.

MeSH terms

  • Area Under Curve*
  • Autistic Disorder
  • Biomarkers* / analysis
  • Computer Simulation
  • Humans
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Limit of Detection
  • Models, Statistical*
  • ROC Curve
  • Statistics, Nonparametric

Substances

  • Biomarkers