Background: It has been suggested that acute histological activity has a prognostic value in the outcome of ulcerative colitis (UC) patients in clinical and endoscopic remission. Our aim was to assess the role of histology as a risk factor for clinical relapse (CR) in patients in both clinical and endoscopic remission.
Methods: Patients with left-sided or extensive UC in clinical and endoscopic remission (Mayo endoscopic subscore ≤1) undergoing colonoscopy for dysplasia surveillance with random colonic biopsies between 2005-2015 were included. Basal plasmacytosis, acute (AHA), and the chronic (CHA) histological inflammatory activity of all biopsy sets were evaluated.
Results: One hundred and thirteen patients were included. Median time in clinical remission at inclusion was 27 months (IQR 15-56). Eight percent of patients relapsed within the first year and 33% during the whole follow-up period. In the univariate analysis, the presence of AHA, alone (P=0.048) or together with a past flare within the previous 12 months (P=0.01), was associated with CR within the first year of follow-up. In the multivariate analysis, AHA, together with a flare within the previous 12 months, remained the only risk factor for relapse (RR=7.5; IC95%; 1.8-29.9; P=0.005).
Conclusions: In UC patients in clinical and endoscopic remission, the presence of AHA is a risk factor for clinical relapse.
Keywords: Activity; Histological remission; Ulcerative colitis.
Copyright © 2017 Editrice Gastroenterologica Italiana S.r.l. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.