The impact of health sector evolution plan on hospitalization and cesarean section rates in Iran: an interrupted time series analysis

Int J Qual Health Care. 2018 Feb 1;30(1):75-79. doi: 10.1093/intqhc/mzx169.

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the effect of the health sector evolution plan (HSEP) on hospitalization and cesarean section (C-section) rates in Kermanshah province in the western region of Iran.

Design: Interrupted time series analysis.

Setting: Hospital care system in Kermanshah province.

Study participants: Fifteen hospitals affiliated to Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MoHME) in Kermanshah province.

Intervention(s): Health sector evolution plan.

Main outcome measures: Hospitalization rate and C-section rate.

Results: We observed a statistically significant increase in the hospitalization rate (12.9 hospitalizations per 10 000 population, P < 0.001) in the first month after the implementation of the HSEP. Compared with the monthly trend in hospitalization rate before the intervention, we found a significant increase of 0.70 hospitalizations per 10 000 population (P < 0.001) in monthly trend in hospitalization rate after the HSEP. Although the proportion of C-section from total deliveries decreased by 11% (P = 0.044) in the first month after the implementation of the HSEP, the proportion of C-section from total deliveries increased at the rate of 0.0017% (P = 0.001) per month during post-intervention period.

Conclusion: We found an increase in the hospitalization rate after the intervention of HSEP. Although the C-section rate in the first month after the HSEP decreased, we observed an increasing trend in C-section rate over the study period; this implies that the HSEP did not promote vaginal delivery in Iran, which is outlined as one of the objectives of the intervention.

MeSH terms

  • Cesarean Section / statistics & numerical data*
  • Female
  • Health Care Reform / statistics & numerical data*
  • Health Plan Implementation
  • Health Policy
  • Health Services Accessibility
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data*
  • Humans
  • Interrupted Time Series Analysis
  • Iran
  • Pregnancy