Modeling Outputs Can Be Valuable When Uncertainty Is Appropriately Acknowledged, but Misleading When Not

Glob Health Sci Pract. 2017 Dec 28;5(4):530-533. doi: 10.9745/GHSP-D-17-00444. Print 2017 Dec 28.

Abstract

While modeling approaches seek to draw on the best available evidence to project health impact of improved coverage of specific interventions, uncertainty around the outputs often remains. When the modeling estimates are used for advocacy, these uncertainties should be communicated to policy makers clearly and openly to ensure they understand the model's limits and to maintain their confidence in the process.

Publication types

  • Editorial
  • Comment

MeSH terms

  • Health Services Research / methods*
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Uncertainty