Predictors of recurrence and survival of pathological T1N0M0 invasive adenocarcinoma following lobectomy

Background: This retrospective research was designed to investigate the relationship between pT1N0M0 invasive adenocarcinoma (IADC) harboring solid (SOL) and/or micropapillary (MIP) components and its prognosis following lobectomy.

Methods: Clinical data of pT1N0M0 IADC patients were retrospectively collected from Shanghai Chest Hospital. Survival curves were plotted by Kaplan-Meier methods. Multivariable cox regressions were conducted to discover the independent risk factors of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), through which nomograms were performed to visualize the risk of recurrences and outcomes in personalized information.

Results: Totally, 1965 patients were enrolled, including 248 harboring SOL/MIP and 1717 not. IADC demonstrated worse 5-year RFS (81.9 vs. 92.2%, p < 0.001) and OS (85.7 vs. 94.4%, p < 0.001) when harboring SOL and/or MIP components. And this status became an independent factor associated with poorer RFS (HR 2.445, 95% CI 1.565-3.821, p < 0.001) and OS (HR 2.139, 95% CI 1.180-3.878, p = 0.012) instead of novel classification of IADC predominant patterns. No difference existed between SOL/MIP predominant and minor patterns. In addition, age > 60, smoking, post-chemotherapy and T1b were all indicating poorer RFS and smoking was also related with worse OS. The c-indexes of nomograms were 0.723 for RFS (95% CI, 0.662-0.784) and 0.703 for OS (95% CI, 0.629-0.777) respectively.

Conclusions: Once the pT1N0M0 IADC harboring SOL/MIP, it strongly indicated the worse clinical recurrence and survival outcome, no matter whether the SOL and/or MIP was predominant. Smoking was correlated with worse prognosis for those patients. Age > 60 and stage T1b also indicated poorer RFS. Whether post-chemotherapy was harmful to pT1N0M0 IADC patients needed further research.