Warranty period of normal stress myocardial perfusion imaging in hypertensive patients: A parametric survival analysis

J Nucl Cardiol. 2020 Apr;27(2):534-541. doi: 10.1007/s12350-018-1285-9. Epub 2018 Apr 20.

Abstract

Background: We evaluated the warranty period of a normal stress myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (MPS) in hypertensive patients.

Methods and results: A total of 471 consecutive hypertensive patients with suspected coronary artery disease and normal perfusion at stress MPS were followed for a mean of 76 ± 21 months. Endpoint events were cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. With Cox analysis, age (hazard ratio 1.1, P < .005) and stress test type (hazard ratio 2.7, P < .005) were independent predictors of events. With parametric Weibull analysis, patients ≤60 years old undergoing exercise stress test remained at low risk for the entire length of follow-up, while the highest probability of events and the major risk acceleration were observed in those > 60 years old who underwent pharmacologic stress test. In patients undergoing exercise test, peak systolic blood pressure (BP; hazard ratio 1.1, P < .005) emerged as predictor of events, and only subjects with peak systolic BP < 160 mmHg remained at low risk for the entire length of follow-up. In contrast, for patients with peak systolic BP ≥180 mmHg, the time to achieve a cumulative cardiac risk level of 3% was 18 months.

Conclusions: In hypertensive patients, the warranty period of a normal stress MPS varies according to stress type and peak systolic BP. A normal stress MPS can be considered reassuring in subjects ≤60 years old who performed exercise stress test and a peak systolic BP < 160 mmHg.

Keywords: MPI; SPECT; diagnostic and prognostic application.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Blood Pressure
  • Coronary Artery Disease / diagnostic imaging
  • Diabetes Complications / diagnostic imaging
  • Diabetes Mellitus / diagnostic imaging
  • Disease Progression
  • Exercise Test / methods*
  • Female
  • Heart / diagnostic imaging
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / diagnostic imaging*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction / diagnostic imaging
  • Myocardial Perfusion Imaging / methods*
  • Probability
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk
  • Risk Factors
  • Stress, Mechanical
  • Survival Analysis
  • Systole
  • Tomography, Emission-Computed, Single-Photon / methods
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed / methods*