A Digital RNA Signature of Circulating Tumor Cells Predicting Early Therapeutic Response in Localized and Metastatic Breast Cancer

The multiplicity of new therapies for breast cancer presents a challenge for treatment selection. We describe a 17-gene digital signature of breast circulating tumor cell (CTC)-derived transcripts enriched from blood, enabling high-sensitivity early monitoring of response. In a prospective cohort of localized breast cancer, an elevated CTC score after three cycles of neoadjuvant therapy is associated with residual disease at surgery (P = 0.047). In a second prospective cohort with metastatic breast cancer, baseline CTC score correlates with overall survival (P = 0.02), as does persistent CTC signal after 4 weeks of treatment (P = 0.01). In the subset with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive disease, failure to suppress ER signaling within CTCs after 3 weeks of endocrine therapy predicts early progression (P = 0.008). Drug-refractory ER signaling within CTCs overlaps partially with presence of ESR1 mutations, pointing to diverse mechanisms of acquired endocrine drug resistance. Thus, CTC-derived digital RNA signatures enable noninvasive pharmacodynamic measurements to inform therapy in breast cancer.Significance: Digital analysis of RNA from CTCs interrogates treatment responses of both localized and metastatic breast cancer. Quantifying CTC-derived ER signaling during treatment identifies patients failing to respond to ER suppression despite having functional ESR1. Thus, noninvasive scoring of CTC-RNA signatures may help guide therapeutic choices in localized and advanced breast cancer. Cancer Discov; 8(10); 1286-99. ©2018 AACR. This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 1195.