Evaluation of three "beyond Baveno VI" criteria to safely spare endoscopies in compensated advanced chronic liver disease

Dig Liver Dis. 2019 Aug;51(8):1135-1140. doi: 10.1016/j.dld.2018.12.025. Epub 2019 Jan 11.

Abstract

Background: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) <20 kPa and platelet count >150,000/mm3 exclude varices needing treatment (VNT) in viral compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD), saving-up to 20-25% endoscopies (Baveno VI criteria). Refinements of such criteria to further reduce endoscopies and an approach without LSM (Platelet 150/MELD 6) were later proposed.

Aims: To assess LSM 25/platelet 125, LSM 25/platelet 110 (Expanded-Baveno VI) and Platelet 150/MELD 6 accuracy versus Baveno VI criteria, and the impact of platelet count variability on criteria accuracy in all-etiologies cACLD.

Methods: cACLD patients undergoing screening endoscopy with laboratory data within 6 months and LSM within one year.

Results: Of 442 patients, 31% had varices (7% with VNT). Baveno VI criteria had 100% sensitivity (Se) and negative predictive value (NPV) and spared 19.5% endoscopies. "LSM 25/platelet 125" and "Expanded-Baveno VI" criteria maintained such accuracy, sparing 15% and 24% more endoscopies, respectively (p < 0.001). Platelet 150/MELD 6 was less accurate, misclassifying 10% VNT. Platelet count variability exceeded 8% and one VNT patient was misclassified with both "Expanded-Baveno VI" and "LSM 25/platelet 125" criteria considering the previous platelet count.

Conclusions: Both "Expanded-Baveno VI" and "LSM 25/platelet 125" criteria are accurate in cACLD, but the former are more advantageous. Platelet 150/MELD 6 proved inadequate.

Keywords: Compensated advance chronic liver disease; Variceal screening; Varices needing treatment.

Publication types

  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Elasticity Imaging Techniques
  • End Stage Liver Disease / complications*
  • Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal / statistics & numerical data*
  • Esophageal and Gastric Varices / diagnosis*
  • Esophageal and Gastric Varices / etiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Italy
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Selection*
  • Platelet Count
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Unnecessary Procedures
  • Young Adult