Comprehension of heavy metal stability in municipal solid waste incineration fly ash with its compositional variety: A quick prediction case of leaching potential

In the current work, a quick prediction of the heavy metal (HM) leaching potential in municipal solid waste incineration fly ash (MSWI FA) was developed based on the statistical data between the HM leaching behaviors and the compositional variety in FA from China. In the comparison of the surveyed (508 data points) leaching concentrations, Pb and Cd leaching amounts in FA exceeded the Toxicity Characteristic Leaching Procedure (TCLP) limits most frequently. Moreover, the chemical compositions (pH and soluble chlorine (S-Cl)) of FA were proposed to have significant linear correlations with the Pb and Cd leaching. This corresponded to the chemical fraction change of the HM (risk assessment code (RAC)), which was relative to the pH of FA and chloride. This suggests that the HM stability can be evaluated by these factors. To verify this hypothesis, principal component analysis (PCA) and multiple linear regressions were used to evaluate the relationship between 5 indices and the leaching concentrations of Pb and Cd in 160 MSWI FA samples after stabilization/solidification from eastern China. It is indicated that pH, S-Cl and free CaO were the critical variables in Pb and Cd leaching. Accordingly, a new index, Φ, combined with the logistic model was proposed to predict the leaching potential. It is revealed that the high risk of the exceeding the limits for HM leaching occurred when Φ was below 12.5. Our results assess the HM stability in MSWI FA with its compositional variety in a statistical way, which gives an approach for the quick prediction of HM leaching potential.