Association between adenovirus viral load and mortality in pediatric allo-HCT recipients: the multinational AdVance study

Bone Marrow Transplant. 2019 Oct;54(10):1632-1642. doi: 10.1038/s41409-019-0483-7. Epub 2019 Feb 25.

Abstract

This multivariable analysis from the AdVance multicenter observational study assessed adenovirus (AdV) viremia peak, duration, and overall AdV viral burden-measured as time-averaged area under the viremia curve over 16 weeks (AAUC0-16)-as predictors of all-cause mortality in pediatric allo-HCT recipients with AdV viremia. In the 6 months following allo-HCT, 241 patients had AdV viremia ≥ 1000 copies/ml. Among these, 18% (43/241) died within 6 months of first AdV ≥ 1000 copies/ml. Measures of AdV viral peak, duration, and overall burden of infection consistently correlate with all-cause mortality. In multivariable analyses, controlling for lymphocyte recovery, patients with AdV AAUC0-16 in the highest quartile had a hazard ratio of 11.1 versus the lowest quartile (confidence interval 5.3-23.6); for peak AdV viremia, the hazard ratio was 2.2 for the highest versus lowest quartile. Both the peak level and duration of AdV viremia were correlated with short-term mortality, independent of other known risk factors for AdV-related mortality, such as lymphocyte recovery. AdV AAUC0-16, which assesses both peak and duration of AdV viremia, is highly correlated with mortality under the current standard of care. New therapeutic agents that decrease AdV AAUC0-16 have the potential of reducing mortality in this at-risk patient population.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation / methods*
  • Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation / mortality
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Transplantation Conditioning / methods*
  • Transplantation Conditioning / mortality
  • Transplantation, Homologous / methods*
  • Transplantation, Homologous / mortality
  • Viral Load