Long-Term Follow-Up of Ground-Glass Nodules After 5 Years of Stability

Introduction: Small ground-glass nodules (GGNs) or those with an indeterminate risk on low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) of the chest are recommended at 5-year follow-up, but the rationale for follow-up beyond 5 years is unclear.

Methods: An observational study was conducted to investigate the natural course of GGNs that had been stable for 5 years by LDCT over 10 years. All eligible GGNs were detected during regular health checkups. Baseline characteristics were compared between GGNs with and without growth. Risk factors for GGN growth were evaluated.

Results: A total of 208 GGNs were detected in 160 participants. GGN growth was identified in 27 (13.0%) GGNs during a follow-up of 136 months on LDCT scans. In approximately 95% of these GGNs, the initial size was less than 6 mm, with 3.2 mm of growth over 8.5 years. Biopsies were performed in 3 of 27 GGNs, revealing adenocarcinoma. In 8 of 27 cases, GGN growth preceded the development of a new solid component. In a multivariate analysis, bubble lucency (p = 0.001), a history of cancer other than lung cancer (p = 0.036), and development of a new solid component (p < 0.001) were significant risk factors for GGN growth.

Conclusions: GGNs should not be ignored, even when smaller than 6 mm and stable for 5 years, especially when a new solid component appears during follow-up.