We need more realistic climate change experiments for understanding ecosystems of the future

Glob Chang Biol. 2020 Feb;26(2):325-327. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14797. Epub 2019 Sep 17.

Abstract

Experiments that alter local climate and measure community- and ecosystem-level responses are an important tool for understanding how future ecosystems will respond to climate change. Here, we synthesized data from 76 studies that manipulated climate and measured plant community responses, and found that most climate change experiments do not correspond to model-projected climate scenarios for their respective regions. This mismatch constrains our ability to predict responses of plant biodiversity and ecosystem functions to climate change, and we conclude with suggestions for a way forward. See also the Commentary on this article by Muller et al., 26, e4-e5 and De Boeck et al.,26, e6-e7.

Keywords: biodiversity; climate change; climate change experiments; climate projections; ecosystem functioning; global circulation models; terrestrial ecosystems.

Publication types

  • Letter

MeSH terms

  • Biodiversity
  • Climate Change*
  • Ecosystem*
  • Forecasting
  • Plants