Differential Cumulative Risk of Genetic Polymorphisms in Familial and Nonfamilial Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Background: To explore the relationship between family history of esophageal cancer, SNPs, and the risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), we performed a population-based case-control study and developed a genetic family history-related risk (GFR) score and non-family history-related risk (GnFR) score to quantify the cumulative number of risk genotypes carried by each individual.

Methods: We used data of 700 patients with nonfamilial ESCC, 341 patients with familial ESCC, 1,445 controls without a family history of esophageal cancer, and 319 controls with a family history. We genotyped 87 genetic variants associated with the risk for ESCC, and constructed GFR and GnFR scores for cases and controls.

Results: Our results show that ESCC risk increased with higher GFR score (P _trend = 0.0096). Among the familial subgroup, we observed a nearly 7-fold [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.92-24.77] higher risk of ESCC in the highest GFR score group. The corresponding estimate was only 2-fold (95% CI, 1.41-3.93) higher risk of ESCC, in the stratum without a reported family history of esophageal cancer. Certain cell signaling pathways and immune-related pathways were enriched, specifically in familial ESCC. Results from a reconstructed cohort analysis demonstrated that cumulative risk to get esophageal cancer by age 75 years was 13.3%, 10.2%, 8.2%, and 5.1%, respectively, in four subgroups as defined by first-degree relatives of cases or controls with high or low genetic risk score. In particular, the cohort of relatives of ESCC cases with low genetic risk score exhibit a higher cumulative risk than the cohort of relatives of controls with high genetic risk score. It demonstrates that environmental factors play a major role in esophageal cancer.

Conclusions: Further studies are warranted to dissect the mechanisms of shared environmental and genetic susceptibility affecting the risk of getting ESCC.

Impact: Our study highlights that the need of preventive strategies to screen certain genetic polymorphisms, especially in individuals whose relatives had ESCC.