Pooled Analysis of external-beam RADiotherapy parameters in phase II and phase III trials in radiochemotherapy in Anal Cancer (PARADAC)

Purpose: Concomitant external-beam radiochemotherapy (5-fluorouracil-mitomycin C) has become the standard of care in anal cancer since the '90s. A pooled analysis of individual patient data from 7 major trials was performed quantifying the effect of radiation therapy (RT)-related parameters on the outcome of patients with anal cancer.

Materials and methods: Pooling databases from combined modality trials, the impact of RT parameters (total dose, gap duration, OTT: overall treatment time) on outcome including locoregional failure (LRF), 5-year progression free survival (PFS) and toxicities were investigated. Individual patient data were received for 10/13 identified published studies conducted from 1987 to 2008 (n = 3031). A Cox regression model was used (landmark = 3 months after RT for first follow-up).

Results: After data inspection indicating severe heterogeneity between trials, only 1343 patients from 7/10 studies received were analysed (the most recent ones, since 1994; median follow-up = 4.1 years). A higher overall 5-year LRF rate [22.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 22.3-27.3%)] significantly correlated with longer OTT (p = 0.03), larger tumour size (p < 0.001) and male gender (p = 0.045). Although significant differences were not observed, subset analyses for LRF (dose range: 50.4-59 Gy) seemed to favour lower doses (p = 0.412), and when comparing a 2-week gap versus 3 (dose: 59.4 Gy), results suggested 3 weeks might be detrimental (p = 0.245). For a 2-week gap versus none (dose range: 55-59.4 Gy), no difference was observed (p = 0.89). Five-year PFS was 65.7% (95% CI: 62.8-68.5%). Higher PFS rates were observed in women (p < 0.001), smaller tumour sizes (p < 0.001) and shorter OTT (p = 0.025). Five-year overall survival [76.7% (95% CI: 73.9%-79.3%)] correlated positively with female gender (p < 0.001), small tumour size (p = 0.027) and short OTT (p = 0.026). Descriptive toxicity data are presented.

Conclusion: For patients receiving concurrent external-beam doublet chemoradiation, a longer OTT seems detrimental to outcome. Further trials involving modern techniques may better define optimal OTT and total dose.