Estimating extra length of stay and risk factors of mortality attributable to healthcare-associated infection at a Chinese university hospital: a multi-state model

BMC Infect Dis. 2019 Nov 20;19(1):975. doi: 10.1186/s12879-019-4474-5.

Abstract

Background: The current evidence of extra length of stay (LOS) attributable to healthcare-associated infection (HCAI) scarcely takes time-dependent bias into consideration. Plus, limited evidences were from developing countries. We aim to estimate the extra LOS and risk factors of mortality attributable to HCAI for inpatients.

Methods: Multi-state model (MSM) was adopted to estimate the extra LOS attributable to HCAI of each type and subgroup. COX regression model was used to examine the risk of mortality.

Results: A total of 51,691 inpatients were included and 1709 (3.31%) among them developed HCAI. Lower respiratory tract infection and Acinetobacter baumannii were the most prevalent HCAI and causative pathogen in surveyed institute. Generally, the expected extra LOS attributable to HCAI was 2.56 days (95% confidence interval: 2.54-2.61). Patients below 65 had extra LOS attributable to HCAI longer about 2 days than those above. The extra LOS attributable to HCAI of male patients was 1.33 days longer than female. Meanwhile, age above 65 years old and HCAI were the risk factors of mortality for inpatients.

Conclusions: HCAI contributes to an increase in extra LOS of inpatients in China. The effect of HCAI on extra LOS is different among subgroups, with the age below 65, male and medicine department more sensitive.

Keywords: Developing country; Health-care associated infection; Length of stay; Mortality; Multi-state model.

MeSH terms

  • Acinetobacter baumannii / isolation & purification
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • China
  • Cross Infection / diagnosis*
  • Cross Infection / microbiology
  • Cross Infection / mortality
  • Female
  • Hospitals, University
  • Humans
  • Length of Stay*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Respiratory Tract Infections / diagnosis*
  • Respiratory Tract Infections / microbiology
  • Respiratory Tract Infections / mortality
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Factors
  • Survival Rate