Prognostic impact of new-onset atrial fibrillation associated with worsening heart failure in aging patients with severely decompensated acute heart failure

Int J Cardiol. 2020 Mar 1:302:88-94. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2019.09.020. Epub 2019 Sep 13.

Abstract

Backgrounds: The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been increasing in aging societies. The prognostic impact of AF associated with worsening heart failure (HF) remains obscure.

Methods and results: We analyzed 1170 acute heart failure (AHF) patients who required intensive care. Patients were assigned to two groups according to the prevalence of AF: no episode of AF (n = 940) and pre-existing AF (Group-1, n = 230). Patients with no episode of AF (n = 940) were further divided into two groups according to presence of new-onset of AF after admission (Group-2a, n = 258) or not (Group-2b, n = 682). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that prognosis, including all-cause mortality and HF-events within 1000 days, was significantly poorer in the Group-1 compared to the Group-2b. However, a multivariate Cox regression model showed that the Group-1 was not an independent predictor of 1000-day mortality and HF-events. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that prognosis, including all-cause mortality and HF-events within 1000 days, was significantly poorer in the Group-2a than in the Group-2b. A multivariate Cox regression model revealed that the Group-2a was an independent predictor of 1000-day mortality (HR: 1.403, 95% CI: 1.018-1.934) and HF-events (HR: 1.352, 95% CI: 1.071-1.708). A multivariate logistic regression model showed that only age (≥75 years old) was independently associated with new-onset of AF after admission (odds ratio: 1.556, 95% CI: 1.130-2.143).

Conclusions: New-onset AF associated with worsening HF increases with age and is independently-associated with adverse outcome in patients with AHF.

Keywords: Acute decompensated heart failure; Acute heart failure syndrome; Arrhythmia; Mortality.

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Aged
  • Aging*
  • Atrial Fibrillation / epidemiology
  • Atrial Fibrillation / etiology*
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Failure / complications*
  • Heart Failure / epidemiology
  • Heart Failure / physiopathology
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Japan / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Stroke Volume / physiology*
  • Survival Rate / trends