Three-Variate Longitudinal Patterns of Metabolic Control, Body Mass Index, and Insulin Dose during Puberty in a Type 1 Diabetes Cohort: A Group-Based Multitrajectory Analysis

J Pediatr. 2020 Mar:218:64-71.e3. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2019.11.012. Epub 2020 Jan 14.

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the interrelationship of metabolic control, age- and sex-adjusted body mass index, and daily insulin dose and to identify heterogeneous multivariate developmental curves from childhood to young adulthood in a large cohort of children with type 1 diabetes (T1D) STUDY DESIGN: Data were extracted from the diabetes follow-up registry DPV. Longitudinal data from 9239 participants with T1D age 8-18 years with diabetes duration ≥2 years and ≥5 years of follow-up were analyzed. We applied group-based multitrajectory modeling to identify latent groups of subjects following similar developmental curves across outcomes (hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c], age/sex-standardized body mass index [BMI-SDS], daily insulin dose per kg). Group number was based on Bayes information criterion and group size (≥5%).

Results: The group-based multitrajectory approach revealed 5 heterogeneous 3-variate trajectories during puberty. Individuals with stable good metabolic control, high-normal increasing BMI-SDS, and rising insulin dose patterns were classified as group 1 (33%). Group 2 (20%) comprised youths with intermediate-increasing HbA1c, low BMI-SDS, and steeply increasing insulin dose trajectories. Group 3 (11%) followed intermediate-rising HbA1c and high-normal increasing BMI-SDS developmental curves, while insulin dose increased steeply. In group 4 (14%), both high-increasing HbA1c and insulin dose trajectories were observed, while BMI-SDS was stable-normal. Group 5 (22%) included subjects with intermediate-rising HbA1c patterns, high-increasing BMI-SDS, and increasing insulin dose patterns.

Conclusions: This study identified 5 distinct 3-variate curves of HbA1c, BMI-SDS, and insulin dose during puberty among youths with T1D. This approach demonstrates a considerable heterogeneity highlighting the importance of personalized medical care.

Keywords: HbA1c; body mass index; insulin dose; multitrajectory group-based modeling; puberty; type 1 diabetes.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Blood Glucose / metabolism*
  • Body Mass Index*
  • Child
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / blood*
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / drug therapy
  • Dose-Response Relationship, Drug
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Glycated Hemoglobin / metabolism*
  • Humans
  • Hypoglycemic Agents / administration & dosage
  • Insulin / administration & dosage*
  • Male
  • Prospective Studies
  • Registries*
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Blood Glucose
  • Glycated Hemoglobin A
  • Hypoglycemic Agents
  • Insulin