Development of prognostic index based on autophagy-related genes analysis in breast cancer

Aging (Albany NY). 2020 Jan 22;12(2):1366-1376. doi: 10.18632/aging.102687. Epub 2020 Jan 22.

Abstract

Background: Autophagy is a self-digesting process that can satisfy the metabolic needs of cells, and is closely related to development of cancer. However, the effect of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) on the prognosis of breast cancer remains unclear.

Results: We first found that 27 ARGs were significantly associated with overall survival in breast cancer. The prognosis-related ARGs signature established using the Cox regression model consists of 12 ARGs that can be divided patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. The overall survival of patients with high-risk scores (HR 3.652, 2.410-5.533; P < 0.001) was shorter than patients with low-risk scores. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 0.739, 0.727, and 0.742, respectively.

Conclusion: The12-ARGs marker can predict the prognosis of breast cancer and thus help individualized treatment of patients at different risks.

Methods: Based on the TCGA dataset, we integrated the expression profiles of ARGs in 1,039 breast cancer patients. Differentially expressed ARGs and survival-related ARGs were evaluated by computational difference algorithm and COX regression analysis. In addition, we also explored the mutations in these ARGs. A new prognostic indicator based on ARGs was developed using multivariate COX analysis.

Keywords: autophagy-related genes; breast cancer; prognosis.

MeSH terms

  • Autophagy / genetics*
  • Autophagy-Related Proteins / genetics*
  • Biomarkers, Tumor*
  • Breast Neoplasms / genetics*
  • Breast Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology
  • Computational Biology / methods
  • Female
  • Gene Expression Profiling
  • Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic*
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Mutation
  • Neoplasm Grading
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve

Substances

  • Autophagy-Related Proteins
  • Biomarkers, Tumor