Early prediction of extubation failure in patients with severe pneumonia: a retrospective cohort study

Biosci Rep. 2020 Feb 28;40(2):BSR20192435. doi: 10.1042/BSR20192435.

Abstract

Backgroud: Severe pneumonia is one of the most common causes for mechanical ventilation. We aimed to early identify severe pneumonia patients with high risk of extubation failure in order to improve prognosis.

Methods: From April 2014 to December 2015, medical records of intubated patients with severe pneumonia in intensive care unit were retrieved from database. Patients were divided into extubation success and failure groups, and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to identify independent predictors for extubation failure.

Results: A total of 125 eligible patients were included, of which 82 and 43 patients had extubation success and failure, respectively. APACHE II score (odds ratio (OR) 1.141, 95% confident interval (CI) 1.022-1.273, P = 0.019, cutoff at 17.5), blood glucose (OR 1.122, 95%CI 1.008-1.249, P = 0.035, cutoff at 9.87 mmol/l), dose of fentanyl (OR 3.010, 95%CI 1.100-8.237, P = 0.032, cutoff at 1.135 mg/d), and the need for red blood cell (RBC) transfusion (OR 2.774, 95%CI 1.062-7.252, P = 0.037) were independent risk factors for extubation failure.

Conclusion: In patients with severe pneumonia, APACHE II score > 17.5, blood glucose > 9.87 mmol/l, fentanyl usage > 1.135 mg/d, and the need for RBC transfusion might be associated with higher risk of extubation failure.

Keywords: APACHE II score; RBC transfusion; blood glucose; extubation failure; fentanyl; severe pneumonia.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • APACHE
  • Aged
  • Airway Extubation / adverse effects*
  • Analgesics, Opioid / adverse effects
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Blood Glucose / metabolism
  • Databases, Factual
  • Erythrocyte Transfusion / adverse effects
  • Female
  • Fentanyl / adverse effects
  • Humans
  • Intubation, Intratracheal*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Pneumonia / diagnosis
  • Pneumonia / physiopathology
  • Pneumonia / therapy*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Respiration, Artificial*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Treatment Failure

Substances

  • Analgesics, Opioid
  • Biomarkers
  • Blood Glucose
  • Fentanyl