Prognostic Value of Late Gadolinium Enhancement for the Prediction of Cardiovascular Outcomes in Dilated Cardiomyopathy: An International, Multi-Institutional Study of the MINICOR Group

Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. 2020 Apr;13(4):e010105. doi: 10.1161/CIRCIMAGING.119.010105. Epub 2020 Apr 21.

Abstract

Background: Dilated cardiomyopathy is associated with increased risk of major cardiovascular events. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) cardiac magnetic resonance imaging is a unique tissue-based marker that, in single-center studies, suggests strong prognostic value. We retrospectively studied associations between LGE presence and adverse cardiovascular events in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy in a multicenter setting as part of an emerging global consortium (MINICOR [Multi-Modal International Cardiovascular Outcomes Registry]).

Methods: Consecutive patients with dilated cardiomyopathy referred for cardiac magnetic resonance (2000-2017) at 12 institutions in 4 countries were studied. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazard and semiparametric Fine and Gray models, we evaluated the association between LGE and the composite primary end point of all-cause mortality, heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implant and a secondary arrhythmic end point of sudden cardiac death or appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock.

Results: We studied 1672 patients, mean age 56±14 years (29% female), left ventricular ejection fraction 33±11%, and 25% having New York Heart Association class III to IV; 650 patients (39%) had LGE. During 2.3 years (interquartile range, 1.0-4.3) follow-up, 160 patients experienced the primary end point, and 88 experienced the arrhythmic end point. In multivariable analyses, LGE was associated with 1.5-fold (hazard ratio, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.03-2.04]) risk of the primary end point and 1.8-fold (hazard ratio, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.20-3.06]) risk of the arrhythmic end point. Primary end point risk was increased in patients with multiple LGE patterns, although arrhythmic risk was higher among patients receiving primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and widening QRS.

Conclusions: In this large multinational study of patients with dilated cardiomyopathy, the presence of LGE showed strong prognostic value for identification of high-risk patients. Randomized controlled trials evaluating LGE-based care management strategies are warranted.

Keywords: death; fibrosis; gadolinium; mortality; prognosis.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Canada
  • Cardiomyopathy, Dilated / diagnostic imaging*
  • Cohort Studies
  • Contrast Media / pharmacokinetics*
  • Female
  • Gadolinium / pharmacokinetics*
  • Heart / diagnostic imaging
  • Humans
  • Image Enhancement / methods*
  • Italy
  • Magnetic Resonance Imaging / methods*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Outcome Assessment*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Spain
  • Time
  • United States

Substances

  • Contrast Media
  • Gadolinium