Long-term and Temporal Outcomes of Transcatheter Versus Surgical Aortic-valve Replacement in Severe Aortic Stenosis: A Meta-analysis

Objective: To determine the 5-year and temporal performance of TAVR versus SAVR.

Background: TAVR has become a valuable treatment for severe aortic stenosis but the long-term safety and efficacy remain unclear.

Methods: Databases were searched until October 6, 2019 for randomized trials with ≥5 years' follow-up. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled with random-effects models.

Results: We included 4 trials with 3,758 patients. TAVR was associated with a significantly higher 5-year all-cause mortality than SAVR (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.03-1.37; P = 0.02). Landmark analysis showed no significant difference within 2 years (OR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.79-1.08; P = 0.33) but a statistically higher mortality in TAVR between 2 and 5 years (OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.14-1.52; P = 0.0002), with significant difference between these 2 temporal phases (P for interaction = 0.001). Similar interaction was found for cardiovascular mortality and several other outcomes. Rates of all-cause mortality or disabling stroke, permanent pacemaker implantation, aortic-valve rehospitalization, and reintervention were higher, but rates of major bleeding and new-onset fibrillation were lower in TAVR at 5 years. The incidences of myocardial infarction, stroke, and transient ischemic attack were not statistically different between TAVR and SAVR.

Conclusions: TAVR was associated with a significantly higher all-cause mortality at 5 years compared with SAVR. Of note, all-cause mortality presented a characteristic temporal pattern showing increased risk between 2 and 5 years but not within 2 years. Longer-term follow-up data are warranted.