Clinical outcomes among individuals with a first episode psychosis attending Butabika National Mental Referral Hospital in Uganda: a longitudinal cohort study. A study protocol for a longitudinal cohort study

Introduction: Psychotic disorders significantly contribute to high morbidity and mortality. In high-income countries, the predictors of mortality, relapse and barriers to care among patients with first episode psychoses (FEP) have been studied as a means of tailoring interventions to improve patient outcomes. However, little has been done to document relapse rates and their predictors in patients with FEP in low resourced, high disease burdened sub-Saharan Africa.

Objective: We shall estimate the rates of relapse of psychotic symptoms and the factors that predict them in patients with FEP over 4 years.

Methods and analysis: We will assemble a cohort of patients with an FEP seen at the Butabika National Mental Referral Hospital in Kampala over a 4-year period. Participants will be adults (≥18 years old), who have received a diagnosis of a psychosis according to the Mini International Neuropsychiatric Instrument (M.I.N.I.), with a demonstrable resolution of active symptoms following the use of antipsychotic medications, and deemed clinically stable for a discharge by the healthcare practitioner. All participants will be required to provide written informed consent. Trained research assistants will collect Demographic and clinical parameters, age of onset of symptoms, diagnostic data using the M.I.N.I., physical examination data, symptom severity, level of social and occupational functioning and household income, during the 4-year study period. We will conduct a verbal audit in the event of loss of life. We shall perform survival analysis using the Aalen-Johansen estimator, and describe the population characteristics by demographics, social and economic strata using simple proportions.

Ethics and dissemination: All participants will provide written informed consent. Ethical approvals for the study have been obtained from the Makerere University School of Medicine Research and Ethics Committee and the Uganda National Council for Science and Technology. Findings will be published in peer reviewed journals.