Admission neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio to predict 30-day and 1-year mortality in geriatric hip fractures

Introduction: Elderly patients with hip fractures exhibit a high incidence of mortality and morbidity. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors that may predict mortality in patients with geriatric hip fracture.

Methods: Included in this retrospective study were 241 patients who were admitted to the hospital with hip fractures between May 2017 and March 2019. The effect of the modified 5-item frailty index (mFI-5) on 30-day and 1-year mortality was evaluated. In addition, admission neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLRs) and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratios (MLRs) were also examined.

Results: The mFI-5 was not found to be a statistically significant predictive indicator for 30-day and 1-year mortality (P = 0.485 and P = 0.484, respectively). Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or current pneumonia was found to increase mortality by 2.702 times (P = 0.002). The 30-day mortality rates of patients aged ≥80 years were significantly higher than those aged 65-79 years (P < 0.05). However, there was no statistical difference in the mortality rates between the age groups after 30 days postoperatively (P = 0.114). Admission NLRs and MLRs were significantly higher in the 30-day and 1-year mortality groups. The cut-off values of the admission NLRs and MLRs for 30-day mortality were calculated as 6.55 and 0.65, respectively, while the same cut-off values for 1-year mortality were calculated as 6.55 and 0.635, respectively.

Conclusions: Admission NLRs and MLRs are useful hematological data for the prediction of 30-day and 1-year mortality in geriatric hip fracture patients.