Association between blastocyst morphology and live birth rate following frozen-thawed single blastocyst transfer: Results from a 5-year retrospective analysis of 2593 cryopreserved blastocysts

Aim: Our aim was to investigate associations between blastocyst morphology parameters and live birth outcome and to make possible additional recommendations for existing embryo selection strategies.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 2593 frozen-thawed single blastocyst transfers (SBT) cycles from 2012 to 2016. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the independent predictive effectiveness of blastocyst parameters for live birth rate (LBR).

Results: The participants enrolled in the present study were 32 (28-35) years old with a median body mass index of 21.20 (19.60-23.40) kg/m² , among whom 1058 (40.8%) women had live births. Among the three blastocyst morphology parameters, we found only inner cell mass grade and trophectoderm cell grade had significant effects on LBR (P < 0.001). When adjusting for potential confounders in a multivariable logistic regression model, the expansion and hatching (EH) stage of blastocoel also showed obvious correlation with LBR. Blastocysts at EH stage 4-5 had a significantly higher LBR than that at stage 3 (P < 0.05). Additionally, the timing of blastulation was also an important predictor of LBR. Blastocysts vitrified on day 6 and day 7 yielded a lower LBR than that vitrified on day 5 (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: The timing of blastulation and all blastocyst morphology parameters were associated with LBR independently. Although the most important parameter for predicting clinical outcomes remains undetermined, the timing of blastulation was a stable predictor of live birth for frozen-thawed SBT.