Variations in clinical response to tamoxifen (TAM) may be related to polymorphic cytochromes P450 (CYPs) involved in forming its active metabolite endoxifen (ENDO). We developed a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model for tamoxifen and six metabolites to determine clinically relevant factors of ENDO exposure. Concentration-time data for TAM and 6 metabolites come from a prospective, multicenter, 3-year follow-up study of adjuvant TAM (20 mg/day) in patients with breast cancer, with plasma samples drawn every 6 months, and genotypes for 63 genetic polymorphisms (PHACS study, NCT01127295). Concentration data for TAM and 6 metabolites from 928 patients (n = 27,433 concentrations) were analyzed simultaneously with a 7-compartment PopPK model. CYP2D6 phenotype (poor metabolizer (PM), intermediate metabolizer (IM), normal metabolizer (NM), and ultra-rapid metabolizer (UM)), CYP3A4*22, CYP2C19*2, and CYP2B6*6 genotypes, concomitant CYP2D6 inhibitors, age, and body weight had a significant impact on TAM metabolism. Formation of ENDO from N-desmethyltamoxifen was decreased by 84% (relative standard error (RSE) = 14%) in PM patients and by 47% (RSE = 9%) in IM patients and increased in UM patients by 27% (RSE = 12%) compared with NM patients. Dose-adjustment simulations support an increase from 20 mg/day to 40 and 80 mg/day in IM patients and PM patients, respectively, to reach ENDO levels similar to those in NM patients. However, when considering Antiestrogenic Activity Score (AAS), a dose increase to 60 mg/day in PM patients seems sufficient. This PopPK model can be used as a tool to predict ENDO levels or AAS according to the patient's CYP2D6 phenotype for TAM dose adaptation.
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