Risk Factors and Incidence of Colorectal Cancer According to Major Molecular Subtypes

JNCI Cancer Spectr. 2020 Oct 7;5(1):pkaa089. doi: 10.1093/jncics/pkaa089. eCollection 2021 Feb.

Abstract

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a heterogeneous disease that can develop via 3 major pathways: conventional, serrated, and alternate. We aimed to examine whether the risk factor profiles differ according to pathway-related molecular subtypes.

Methods: We examined the association of 24 risk factors with 4 CRC molecular subtypes based on a combinatorial status of microsatellite instability (MSI), CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), and BRAF and KRAS mutations by collecting data from 2 large US cohorts. We used inverse probability weighted duplication-method Cox proportional hazards regression to evaluate differential associations across subtypes.

Results: We documented 1175 CRC patients with molecular subtype data: subtype 1 (n = 498; conventional pathway; non-MSI-high, CIMP-low or negative, BRAF-wild-type, KRAS-wild-type), subtype 2 (n = 138; serrated pathway; any MSI status, CIMP-high, BRAF-mutated, KRAS-wild-type), subtype 3 (n = 367; alternate pathway; non-MSI-high, CIMP-low or negative, BRAF-wild-type, KRAS-mutated), and subtype 4 (n = 172; other marker combinations). Statistically significant heterogeneity in associations with CRC subtypes was found for age, sex, and smoking, with a higher hazard ratio (HR) observed for the subtype 2 (HR per 10 years of age = 2.64, 95% CI = 2.13 to 3.26; HR for female = 2.65, 95% CI = 1.60 to 4.39; HR per 20-pack-year of smoking = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.14 to 1.45) than other CRC subtypes (all P heterogeneity < .005). A stronger association was found for adiposity measures with subtype 1 CRC in men and subtype 3 CRC in women and for several dietary factors with subtype 1 CRC, although these differences did not achieve statistical significance at α level of .005.

Conclusions: Risk factor profiles may differ for CRC arising from different molecular pathways.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adiposity
  • Age Factors
  • Body Mass Index
  • Cohort Studies
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / genetics*
  • Colorectal Neoplasms / pathology
  • CpG Islands*
  • DNA Methylation
  • Diet
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Genes, ras*
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Life Style
  • Male
  • Microsatellite Instability*
  • Middle Aged
  • Mutation
  • Phenotype
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf / genetics*
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Factors
  • Smoking
  • United States / epidemiology

Substances

  • Proto-Oncogene Proteins B-raf