Risk Factors for Mortality, Intensive Care Unit Admission, and Bacteremia in Patients Suspected of Sepsis at the Emergency Department: A Prospective Cohort Study

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2020 Dec 28;8(1):ofaa594. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofaa594. eCollection 2021 Jan.

Abstract

Background: There is a clear need for a better assessment of independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit admission, and bacteremia in patients presenting with suspected sepsis at the emergency department.

Methods: A prospective observational cohort study including 1690 patients was performed. Two multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors.

Results: Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score of ≥2 and serum lactate of ≥2mmol/L were associated with all outcomes. Other independent risk factors were individual SOFA variables and systemic inflammatory response syndrome variables but varied per outcome. Mean arterial pressure <70 mmHg negatively impacted all outcomes.

Conclusions: These readily available measurements can help with early risk stratification and prediction of prognosis.

Keywords: ICU admission; bacteremia; emergency department; risk factors; sepsis.